Tropical Storm Henri
Forecast Advisory 6
000
WTNT35 KNHC 050230
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FABIAN ADVISORY NUMBER 34
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST THU SEP 04 2003
...POWERFUL HURRICANE FABIAN TAKING AIM ON BERMUDA...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
FABIAN IS A LARGE AND SEVERE HURRICANE. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION NOW.
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FABIAN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 27.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.7 WEST OR ABOUT 300
MILES...485 KM...SOUTH OF BERMUDA.
FABIAN IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 17 MPH...27 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BRING THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE
NEAR OR OVER BERMUDA BY LATE FRIDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 230 MILES...370 KM. FABIAN IS A LARGE HURRICANE AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH BERMUDA EARLY FRIDAY...WELL
IN ADVANCE OF THE EYE. THE WEATHER SHOULD BEGIN TO DETERIORATE ON
BERMUDA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 940 MB...27.76 INCHES.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED ON BERMUDA.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED ON BERMUDA.
LARGE SWELLS WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD ALONG PORTIONS OF THE EAST COAST
OF THE UNITED STATES ON FRIDAY.
REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...27.9 N... 64.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 940 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM AST.
FORECASTER STEWART
000
WTNT32 KNHC 050236
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT THU SEP 04 2003
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE GETTING A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA
FROM ENGLEWOOD NORTHWARD TO THE AUCILLA RIVER.
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.5 WEST OR
ABOUT 185 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF BAYPORT FLORIDA. THIS IS ALSO
ABOUT 145 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA..
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 7 MPH. A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THE DEPRESSION IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON FRIDAY.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
MOST OF THE HEAVY RAINS WITH THE DEPRESSION ARE LOCATED WELL TO THE
EAST OF THE CENTER...AND THESE RAINS ARE ALREADY AFFECTING PORTIONS
OF THE FLORIDA GULF COAST. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15
INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THE DEPRESSION. DUE TO SATURATED GROUND CONDITIONS
AND HIGH RIVER STAGES...THESE HEAVY RAINS COULD RESULT IN EXTREME
FLOODING.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE SOUTH OF WHERE THE CENTER
MAKES LANDFALL.
REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...27.7 N... 85.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM CDT.
FORECASTER STEWART
