Tropical Storm Henri
Forecast Advisory 8
000
WTNT35 KNHC 051443
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FABIAN ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST FRI SEP 05 2003
...FRINGES OF FABIAN AFFECTING BERMUDA...WORSE STILL TO COME...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
FABIAN IS A LARGE AND SEVERE HURRICANE. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED.
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FABIAN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.4 WEST OR ABOUT 110
MILES...180 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA.
FABIAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR. ON THIS
TRACK THE INNER CORE OF DANGEROUS HURRICANE FABIAN WILL BE PASSING
NEAR OR OVER BERMUDA LATER TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 230 MILES...370 KM. FABIAN IS A LARGE HURRICANE AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE ALREADY AFFECTING BERMUDA. A WIND GUST TO 61
MPH...98 KM/HR WAS EXPERIENCED IN BERMUDA WITHIN THE PAST HOUR. HAM
RADIO REPORTS INDICATE THAT THERE ARE ROUGH SEAS AND TREE BRANCHES
ON ROADS. HURRICANE CONDITIONS SHOULD BEGIN SOON.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 951 MB...28.08 INCHES.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED ON BERMUDA.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED ON BERMUDA.
LARGE SWELLS WILL LIKELY SPREAD ALONG PORTIONS OF THE EAST COAST
OF THE UNITED STATES TODAY.
REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...30.8 N... 65.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 951 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM
AST.
FORECASTER AVILA
000
WTNT32 KNHC 051450
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HENRI ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT FRI SEP 05 2003
...RAINS FROM HENRI AFFECTING THE FLORIDA GULF COAST...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA
FROM ENGLEWOOD NORTHWARD TO THE AUCILLA RIVER.
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HENRI WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.3 NORTH... LONGITUDE 83.9 WEST OR ABOUT 80
MILES SOUTHWEST OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA.
HENRI IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH AND A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA
THIS EVENING AND MOVE ACROSS NORTH-CENTRAL FLORIDA OVERNIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED PRIOR TO
LANDFALL.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES
... 75 KM FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6-12 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH HENRI. DUE TO
SATURATED GROUND CONDITIONS AND HIGH RIVER STAGES...THESE HEAVY
RAINS COULD RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT FLOODING.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE SOUTH OF WHERE THE CENTER
MAKES LANDFALL.
THERE IS A RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES THROUGH THIS EVENING OVER
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND NORTH FLORIDA.
REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...28.3 N... 83.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 997 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
