Hurricane Isabel

Forecast Advisory 11



000
WTNT32 KNHC 082021
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION HENRI ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT MON SEP 08 2003

...HENRI LOSING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS...

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION HENRI WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE
75.0 WEST OR ABOUT 160 MILES...225 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE
HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11
KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...33.0 N... 75.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.

THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON HENRI UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE
OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO
HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

FORECASTER BLAKE/PASCH



000
WTNT33 KNHC 082023
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ISABEL ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST MON SEP 08 2003

...ISABEL CONTINUING TO GAIN STRENGTH...COULD BECOME A CATEGORY 4
HURRICANE TONIGHT...

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF MAJOR HURRICANE ISABEL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 43.7 WEST OR ABOUT
1195 MILES...1920 KM...EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

ISABEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...MAKING ISABEL A STRONG CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR
SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND ISABEL COULD BECOME A CATEGORY 4
HURRICANE LATER TONIGHT OR ON TUESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...17.9 N... 43.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 952 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 11 PM AST.

FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTNT34 KNHC 082029
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST MON SEP 08 2003

...DEPRESSION CHANGING LITTLE OVER THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC...

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 22.8 WEST OR
ABOUT 200 MILES...325 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH
... 9 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. DUE TO THE SLOW FORWARD SPEED...SOME
ERRATIC MOTION IS POSSIBLE...AND INTERESTS IN THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER
TONIGHT OR ON TUESDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...12.0 N... 22.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 11 PM AST.

FORECASTER STEWART