Hurricane Isabel

Forecast Advisory 16

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000
WTNT34 KNHC 100230
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST TUE SEP 09 2003

...DEPRESSION WEAKENING NEAR THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...

OCCASIONAL HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF
THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION FOURTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 25.0 WEST OR VERY NEAR THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST...WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED...IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION
WILL TAKE THE SYSTEM OVER THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS TONIGHT AND EARLY
WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...15.1 N... 25.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 AM AST.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN/KNABB





000
WTNT33 KNHC 100250
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ISABEL ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST TUE SEP 09 2003

...ISABEL STILL A DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE...

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISABEL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 48.8 WEST OR ABOUT 875
MILES...1410 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

ISABEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH
...22 KM/HR. A TURN TO THE WEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE OVERALL CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS...ALTHOUGH FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE COMMON IN MAJOR
HURRICANES.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES... 75 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 175 MILES...280 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 948 MB...27.99 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...20.6 N... 48.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...135 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 948 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM AST.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN