Hurricane Isabel

Forecast Advisory 19

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000
WTNT33 KNHC 102025
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ISABEL ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST WED SEP 10 2003

...DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE ISABEL STRENGTHENS...

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF INTENSE HURRICANE ISABEL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.9 WEST OR ABOUT
685 MILES ...1100 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD
ISLANDS.

ISABEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 140 MPH...220 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE
NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO...WITH POSSIBLE FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY
AFTERWARDS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES... 95 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 185 MILES...295 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 942 MB...27.82 INCHES.

LARGE OCEAN SWELLS...CREATING HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS...WILL BEGIN
TO AFFECT THE LEEWARD ISLANDS BY THURSDAY.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...21.2 N... 51.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...140 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 942 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 11 PM AST.

FORECASTER STEWART





000
WTNT34 KNHC 102032
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST WED SEP 10 2003

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN DISSIPATING...

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 25.5 WEST OR JUST
NORTH OF THE NORTHWESTERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE DEPRESSION IS DISSIPATING
DUE TO VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM AN NEARBY UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS REMAIN POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF
THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...17.3 N... 25.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.

THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

FORECASTER BEVEN