Hurricane Isabel

Forecast Advisory 37



000
WTNT33 KNHC 150837
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ISABEL ADVISORY NUMBER 37
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST MON SEP 15 2003

...INTENSE HURRICANE ISABEL MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO THE EAST OF
THE BAHAMAS...

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISABEL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 24.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.0 WEST OR ABOUT 820 MILES
...1320 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA. THIS
POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 525 MILES...845 KM...EAST OF NASSAU IN THE
BAHAMAS.

ISABEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...
AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED SLIGHTLY AND ARE NOW NEAR 150
MPH...240 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. AS IS COMMON IN MAJOR
HURRICANES...SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 205 MILES...335 KM.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 940 MB...27.76 INCHES.

LARGE OCEAN SWELLS AND DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OVER
PORTIONS OF THE GREATER AND LESSER ANTILLES...THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS...AND THE ISLANDS OF THE BAHAMAS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
THESE DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS WILL ALSO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...24.8 N... 69.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...150 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 940 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM AST.

FORECASTER BEVEN