Hurricane Isabel

Forecast Advisory 41

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000
WTNT33 KNHC 160833
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ISABEL ADVISORY NUMBER 41
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST TUE SEP 16 2003

...ISABEL CONTINUING NORTHWESTWARD...BECOMING LESS ORGANIZED...

A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC
COAST LATER TODAY. INTERESTS FROM THE CAROLINAS NORTHWARD TO
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...ALONG THE COAST AND INLAND...SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ISABEL.

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISABEL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.7 WEST OR ABOUT 660
MILES...1065 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.
THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 435 MILES...700 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF
NASSAU IN THE BAHAMAS.

ISABEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR. A
GENERAL MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.

SATELLITE IMAGERY AND REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT ISABEL HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED
DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
DECREASED TO NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE
CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES...195 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 200 MILES...325 KM.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER
IS 956 MB...28.23 INCHES.

LARGE OCEAN SWELLS AND DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS ARE ALREADY BEING
EXPERIENCED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE U.S. SOUTHEAST AND MID-ATLANTIC
COASTS. THESE CONDITIONS WILL ALSO CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THE
GREATER AND LESSER ANTILLES...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND
THE ISLANDS OF THE BAHAMAS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...26.6 N... 70.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...115 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 956 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM AST.

FORECASTER BEVEN