Hurricane Juan

Forecast Advisory 2

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000
WTNT35 KNHC 252034
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JUAN ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST THU SEP 25 2003

...JUAN...THE 10TH NAMED TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON...FORMS
SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA...

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BERMUDA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JUAN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 30.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.8 WEST OR ABOUT 200
MILES...315 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.

JUAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR.
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A
GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES ...325 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW THAT RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH JUAN ARE
ALREADY NEARING BERMUDA.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES. A
DRIFTING BUOY NEAR THE CENTER RECENTLY REPORTED A MINIMUM PRESSURE
OF 996.6 MB...29.43 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...30.9 N... 61.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 996 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM
AST.

FORECASTER AVILA





000
WTNT31 KNHC 252041
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST THU SEP 25 2003

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC...

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF NEWLY-FORMED
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.7 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 38.3 WEST OR ABOUT 1450 MILES...2330 KM...EAST OF THE
LESSER ANTILLES.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH
...22 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM IN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...11.7 N... 38.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM AST.

FORECASTER AVILA