Hurricane Juan
Forecast Advisory 4
000
WTNT35 KNHC 260825
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JUAN ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST FRI SEP 26 2003
...JUAN GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JUAN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.9 WEST OR ABOUT
175 MILES...280 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.
JUAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 9 MPH ...15 KM/HR...AND A
NORTH TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF JUAN IS EXPECTED
TO PASS WELL TO THE EAST OF BERMUDA LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
JUAN COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY TOMORROW.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES
...325 KM FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES.
RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH JUAN WILL LIKELY AFFECT BERMUDA LATER
TODAY.
REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...31.5 N... 61.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM AST.
FORECASTER STEWART
000
WTNT31 KNHC 260832
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST FRI SEP 26 2003
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN REMAINS OVER THE OPEN TROPICAL
ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 40.1 WEST OR
ABOUT 1310 MILES...2105 KM...EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH
...19 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...
AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...13.0 N... 40.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 11 AM AST.
FORECASTER STEWART
