Hurricane Juan

Forecast Advisory 5



000
WTNT35 KNHC 261436
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE JUAN ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST FRI SEP 26 2003

...JUAN BECOMES THE FOURTH HURRICANE OF THE SEASON...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JUAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.0 WEST OR ABOUT 160 MILES...255
KM...EAST OF BERMUDA.

JUAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH ...13 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. ON
THIS TRACK...THE AREA OF STRONGEST WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH JUAN ARE
EXPECTED TO PASS WELL EAST OF BERMUDA.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR
...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES JUAN THE FOURTH HURRICANE OF THE
2003 ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH
IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES... 30 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 200 MILES...325 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.

RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH JUAN ARE ALREADY AFFECTING BERMUDA.

REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...32.2 N... 62.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 987 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM
AST.

FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTNT35 KNHC 261450
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE JUAN ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST FRI SEP 26 2003

..CORRECTION...JUAN IS THE FIFTH HURRICANE OF THE SEASON...

...JUAN BECOMES THE FIFTH HURRICANE OF THE SEASON...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JUAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.0 WEST OR ABOUT 160 MILES...255
KM...EAST OF BERMUDA.

JUAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH ...13 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. ON
THIS TRACK...THE AREA OF STRONGEST WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH JUAN ARE
EXPECTED TO PASS WELL EAST OF BERMUDA.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR
...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES JUAN THE FIFTH HURRICANE OF THE
2003 ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH
IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES... 30 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 200 MILES...325 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.

RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH JUAN ARE ALREADY AFFECTING BERMUDA.

REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...32.2 N... 62.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 987 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM
AST.

FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTNT31 KNHC 261459
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST FRI SEP 26 2003

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NEARING TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
SIXTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 40.7 WEST
OR ABOUT 1300 MILES...2100 KM... EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH
...24 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL
STORM LATER TODAY OR SATURDAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...15.9 N... 40.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 PM AST.

FORECASTER AVILA/SISKO