Hurricane Juan

Forecast Advisory 7



000
WTNT31 KNHC 270232
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST FRI SEP 26 2003

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN SOMEWHAT DISORGANIZED...

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 42.3 WEST OR ABOUT
1280 MILES...2060 KM...EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH
...26 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH
SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE CENTER OF
THE DEPRESSION HAS BECOME SEPARATED FROM THE ASSOCIATED
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...AND LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...18.6 N... 42.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM AST.

FORECASTER BEVEN




000
WTNT35 KNHC 270233
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE JUAN ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST FRI SEP 26 2003

...JUAN STRENGTHENS SLIGHTLY AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD...

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JUAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.9 WEST OR ABOUT 190 MILES...305
KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 760
MILES...1225 KM...SOUTH OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA.

JUAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. A GENERAL
NORTHWARD TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 200 MILES...325 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...33.7 N... 61.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 984 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM AST.

FORECASTER BEVEN