Hurricane Juan

Forecast Advisory 11

---

000
WTNT35 KNHC 280234
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE JUAN ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST SAT SEP 27 2003

...JUAN MAINTAINING STRENGTH AS IT CONTINUES TOWARD NOVA SCOTIA...

RAIN AND WIND WARNINGS CONTINUE IN EFFECT FOR NOVA SCOTIA. HURRICANE
FORCE WIND WARNINGS CONTINUE IN EFFECT FOR THE NOVA SCOTIA MARINE
AREAS.

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JUAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 36.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 63.8 WEST OR ABOUT 525 MILES...845
KM...SOUTH OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA.

JUAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH ...15 KM/HR. A
TURN TO THE NORTH WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
EARLY SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF JUAN IS
EXPECTED TO BE NEAR THE COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA BY SUNDAY EVENING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS JUAN MOVES OVER COLDER WATERS AS IT
APPROACHES NOVA SCOTIA...BUT JUAN IS STILL EXPECTED TO BRING
HURRICANE CONDITIONS TO PORTIONS OF NOVA SCOTIA BY LATE SUNDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 200 MILES...325 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...36.8 N... 63.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 970 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM AST.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN





000
WTNT31 KNHC 280245
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST SAT SEP 27 2003

...KATE STRENGTHENS OVER OPEN WATERS...

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KATE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 22.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 44.7 WEST OR ABOUT 1150
MILES...1855 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

KATE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH ...19 KM/HR. A
TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES
...220 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...22.4 N... 44.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM AST.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN