Hurricane Juan
Forecast Advisory 12
000
WTNT31 KNHC 280832
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KATE ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SUN SEP 28 2003
...KATE CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN IN THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KATE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 23.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 44.5 WEST OR ABOUT 1190
MILES...1910 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.
KATE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 9 MPH ...15 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS WITH A
TURN TO THE NORTHEAST THEREAFTER.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LIMITED STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES ...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...23.4 N... 44.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 997 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 AM AST.
FORECASTER STEWART/HOLWEG
000
WTNT35 KNHC 280833
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE JUAN ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SUN SEP 28 2003
...JUAN REMAINS A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE...HEADING FOR NOVA SCOTIA...
RAIN AND WIND WARNINGS CONTINUE IN EFFECT FOR NOVA SCOTIA. HURRICANE
FORCE WIND WARNINGS CONTINUE IN EFFECT FOR THE NOVA SCOTIA MARINE
AREAS.
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JUAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 37.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.1 WEST OR ABOUT 485 MILES...
785 KM...SOUTH OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA.
JUAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION...WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...IS
EXPECTED TODAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF JUAN IS
FORECAST TO BE NEAR THE COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA IN THE VICINITY OF
HALIFAX BY THIS EVENING.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS THE HURRICANE MOVES OVER COLDER
WATERS THIS AFTERNOON...BUT JUAN IS STILL EXPECTED TO BRING
HURRICANE CONDITIONS TO PORTIONS OF NOVA SCOTIA BY LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 200 MILES...325 KM.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES.
SOME STORM SURGE FLOODING IN EXCESS OF 3 FT...OR 1 METER...MAY OCCUR
ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA SINCE JUAN IS EXPECTED TO MAKE
LANDFALL NEAR ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING.
REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...37.6 N... 64.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 970 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 11 AM AST.
FORECASTER STEWART
