Hurricane Juan

Forecast Advisory 14



000
WTNT31 KNHC 282026
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KATE ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SUN SEP 28 2003

...KATE MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH...

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KATE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 25.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 42.6 WEST OR ABOUT 1240
MILES... 1995 KM...SOUTHWEST OF LAJES IN THE WESTERN AZORES.

KATE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH...19
KM/HR...AND A GENERALLY NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...25.2 N... 42.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 997 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM AST.

FORECASTER PASCH/BERG




000
WTNT35 KNHC 282028
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE JUAN ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SUN SEP 28 2003

...JUAN MOVING FASTER TOWARD NOVA SCOTIA...

RAIN AND WIND WARNINGS CONTINUE IN EFFECT FOR NOVA SCOTIA.
HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNINGS CONTINUE IN EFFECT FOR THE NOVA
SCOTIA MARINE AREAS.

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JUAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 41.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 64.1 WEST OR ABOUT 240 MILES...385
KM...SOUTH OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA.

JUAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 23 MPH...37 KM/HR...AND A
CONTINUED NORTHWARD MOTION WITH A FURTHER INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...JUAN
WILL BE NEAR THE SOUTH COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA IN A FEW HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ALTHOUGH SOME WEAKENING IS LIKELY AS JUAN MOVES OVER COLDER
WATERS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...JUAN IS STILL EXPECTED TO BE
OF HURRICANE INTENSITY WHEN IT MAKES LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 230 MILES...370 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 973 MB...28.73 INCHES.

SOME STORM SURGE FLOODING IN EXCESS OF 3 FT...OR 1 METER...MAY OCCUR
ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA. JUAN IS EXPECTED TO MAKE
LANDFALL NEAR ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...41.2 N... 64.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 23 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...100 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 973 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM AST.

FORECASTER PASCH