Hurricane Kate

Forecast Advisory 2



000
WTNT35 KNHC 260232
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JUAN ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST THU SEP 25 2003

...JUAN SLOWS ITS FORWARD MOTION AND STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JUAN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 31.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.9 WEST OR ABOUT 185
MILES...300 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.

JUAN HAS SLOWED ITS FORWARD MOTION AND IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH... 9 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES
...325 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES.

RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH JUAN WILL LIKELY AFFECT BERMUDA LATER
TONIGHT.

REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...31.1 N... 61.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 992 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM AST.

FORECASTER BEVEN




000
WTNT31 KNHC 260234
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST THU SEP 25 2003

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION SIXTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.6 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 39.2 WEST OR ABOUT 1380 MILES...2220 KM...EAST OF THE
LESSER ANTILLES.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH
...24 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME
A TROPICAL STORM IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...12.6 N... 39.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM AST.

FORECASTER ROBERTS/BEVEN