Hurricane Kate

Forecast Advisory 7



000
WTNT35 KNHC 270841
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE JUAN ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SAT SEP 27 2003

...JUAN STRENGTHENING AS IT BEGINS TO ACCELERATE NORTHWARD...

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JUAN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 34.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.4 WEST OR ABOUT 220
MILES...355 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA. THIS POSITION IS ALSO
ABOUT 675 MILES...1085 KM...SOUTH OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA.

JUAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR. A GENERAL
NORTHWARD TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS...ACCOMPANIED BY A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 12 TO
24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 200 MILES...325 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 981 MB...28.97 INCHES.

ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...JUAN COULD BEGIN TO AFFECT NOVA
SCOTIA BY LATE SUNDAY...AND COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE
REQUIRED LATER TODAY. THE CANADIAN WEATHER SERVICE HAS ALREADY
ISSUED HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNINGS FOR THE NOVA SCOTIA MARINE
AREAS.

REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...34.9 N... 62.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 981 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 11 AM AST.

FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTNT31 KNHC 270856
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SAT SEP 27 2003

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
SIXTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.8 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 43.2 WEST OR ABOUT 1230 MILES...2000 KM...
EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH
...26 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...19.8 N... 43.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 11 AM AST.

FORECASTER STEWART/HOLWEG