Hurricane Kate

Forecast Advisory 9

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000
WTNT35 KNHC 272036
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE JUAN ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SAT SEP 27 2003

...HURRICANE JUAN HEADING FOR NOVA SCOTIA...WINDS REACH 105 MPH...

RAIN AND WIND WARNINGS CONTINUE IN EFFECT FOR NOVA SCOTIA. HURRICANE
FORCE WIND WARNINGS CONTINUE IN EFFECT FOR THE NOVA SCOTIA MARINE
AREAS.

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE JUAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 35.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.4 WEST OR ABOUT 645 MILES...1040
KM...SOUTH OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA.

JUAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. A
TURN TO THE NORTH WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. ON THIS TRACK...JUAN WILL BRING HURRICANE
CONDITIONS OVER PORTIONS OF NOVA SCOTIA LATE SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH...165
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES JUAN A CATEGORY TWO
HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS
IN INTENSITY ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 200 MILES...325 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...35.9 N... 63.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 970 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM AST.

FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTNT31 KNHC 272055
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SAT SEP 27 2003

...THE DEPRESSION REACHES TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH AND IS NAMED
KATE...

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KATE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 21.5 NORTH... LONGITUDE 44.4 WEST OR ABOUT 1150
MILES...1850 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.

KATE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...
22KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. KATE IS THE ELEVENTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE ATLANTIC
HURRICANE SEASON. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES
... 95 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...21.5 N... 44.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM AST.

FORECASTER AVILA/SISKO