Hurricane Kate
Forecast Advisory 29
000
WTNT32 KNHC 022037
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LARRY ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT THU OCT 02 2003
...LARRY DRIFTING SOUTHWARD AND STRENGTHENING...TROPICAL STORM
WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED...
AT 5 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE COAST OF THE
BAY OF CAMPECHE FROM VERACRUZ TO CAMPECHE.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA
WITHIN 36 HR.
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LARRY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.6 WEST OR ABOUT 185
MILES...300 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO.
LARRY IS DRIFTING ERRATICALLY SOUTHWARD. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH... 95
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL SLOW STRENGTHENING IS
POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES...230 KM
FROM THE CENTER. REPORTS FROM THE HURRICANE HUNTER INDICATE THAT
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE CLOSE TO THE MEXICAN COAST SOUTHWEST
OF THE CENTER...AND THESE WINDS COULD SPREAD ONSHORE IN THE WARNING
AREA TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER
IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES.
ABOVE-NORMAL TIDES SHOULD GRADUALLY INCREASE ALONG THE COAST OF BAY
OF CAMPECHE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS
BATTERING WAVES.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN
MEXICO AND THE SOUTHWESTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA. THESE RAINS COULD
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...20.4 N... 93.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...DRIFTING SOUTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 995 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM CDT.
FORECASTER BEVEN
000
WTNT31 KNHC 022039
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KATE ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST THU OCT 02 2003
...KATE STRENGTHENING SOME MORE AS IT CONTINUES WEST-SOUTHWARD...
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 45.2 WEST OR ABOUT 1165 MILES...
1875 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.
KATE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR. A
TURN TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 90 MPH...150
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 230 MILES...370 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 976 MB...28.82 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...29.8 N... 45.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 90 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 976 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM AST.
FORECASTER BEVEN
