Hurricane Kate
Forecast Advisory 30
000
WTNT31 KNHC 030215
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KATE ADVISORY NUMBER 30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST THU OCT 02 2003
...KATE CONTINUES MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD...
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.3 WEST OR ABOUT 1100
MILES...1780 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.
KATE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH
...19 KM/HR...AND A MOSTLY WESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 230 MILES...370 KM.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 976 MB...28.82 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...29.5 N... 46.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 90 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 976 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 AM AST.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
000
WTNT32 KNHC 030217
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LARRY ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT THU OCT 02 2003
...LARRY DRIFTING SLOWLY...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE BAY OF CAMPECHE COAST OF MEXICO FROM VERACRUZ TO CAMPECHE.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA
WITHIN 36 HR.
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LARRY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.1 WEST OR ABOUT
160 MILES...260 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO.
LARRY IS DRIFTING SLOWLY AND ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST NEAR
2 MPH... 4 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR STRENGTHENING DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR TWO.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES
...280 KM FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS SHOULD
GRADUALLY INCREASE ALONG THE COAST OF BAY OF CAMPECHE ON FRIDAY
...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES. THIS
FLOODING IS EXPECTED WHEREVER THE WINDS ARE BLOWING ONSHORE.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN
MEXICO AND THE SOUTHWESTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA. THESE RAINS COULD
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...20.4 N... 94.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 993 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM CDT.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
