Hurricane Kate

Forecast Advisory 31

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000
WTNT31 KNHC 030844
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KATE ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST FRI OCT 03 2003

...KATE REACHES 105 MPH WINDS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD...

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.8 WEST OR ABOUT 1025 MILES
...1650 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.

KATE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH ...19 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH...165
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES KATE A STRONG CATEGORY TWO
HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL
STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 230 MILES...370 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...29.3 N... 47.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 970 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 AM AST.

FORECASTER AVILA





000
WTNT32 KNHC 030849
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LARRY ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT FRI OCT 03 2003

...LARRY NEARLY STATIONARY...LITTLE MOTION IS ANTICIPATED...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE BAY OF CAMPECHE COAST OF MEXICO FROM VERACRUZ TO CAMPECHE.

AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LARRY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.1 WEST OR ABOUT 160
MILES...260 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO.

LARRY IS STATIONARY AND LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES ...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS SHOULD
GRADUALLY INCREASE ALONG THE COAST OF BAY OF CAMPECHE ON FRIDAY
...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES. THIS
FLOODING IS EXPECTED WHEREVER THE WINDS ARE BLOWING ONSHORE.

REPEATING THE 4 AM CDT POSITION...20.4 N... 94.1 W. MOVEMENT
...STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE... 993 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 7 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 AM
CDT.

FORECASTER AVILA