Hurricane Kate
Forecast Advisory 32
000
WTNT32 KNHC 031435
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LARRY ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT FRI OCT 03 2003
...LARRY DRIFTING ERRATICALLY SOUTHWESTWARD WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN
STRENGTH...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE BAY OF CAMPECHE COAST OF MEXICO FROM VERACRUZ TO CAMPECHE.
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LARRY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.6 WEST OR ABOUT
120 MILES...195 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO.
LARRY IS DRIFTING ERRATICALLY SOUTHWESTWARD. AN ERRATIC SOUTHWARD
DRIFT IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HR. THIS MOTION WILL
GRADUALLY BRING THE CENTER CLOSER TO THE COAST OF MEXICO.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS COULD BEGIN SPREADING
ONSHORE IN THE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING SHOULD GRADUALLY INCREASE IN AREAS OF
ONSHORE FLOW WITHIN THE WARNING AREA TODAY...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE
AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH LARRY SHOULD SPREAD ONSHORE OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO TODAY AND TONIGHT. THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...20.0 N... 94.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...DRIFTING ERRATICALLY SOUTHWESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 997 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 PM CDT.
FORECASTER BEVEN
000
WTNT31 KNHC 031437
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KATE ADVISORY NUMBER 32
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST FRI OCT 03 2003
...KATE MOVING WESTWARD AND STRENGTHENING SLIGHTLY...
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.5 NORTH... LONGITUDE 48.3 WEST OR ABOUT 990 MILES
...1595 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.
KATE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...AND A
WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 110 MPH...175
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND KATE COULD BECOME A MAJOR
HURRICANE...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE
SCALE...LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 230 MILES...370 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 966 MB...28.53 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...29.5 N... 48.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...110 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 970 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM AST.
FORECASTER BEVEN
