Hurricane Kate
Forecast Advisory 36
000
WTNT32 KNHC 041431
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LARRY ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT SAT OCT 04 2003
...LARRY DRIFTING SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD MEXICO...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT
ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM TUXPAN TO CAMPECHE.
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LARRY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.7 WEST OR ABOUT
75 MILES...120 KM...NORTHWEST OF CIUDAD DEL CARMEN MEXICO.
LARRY IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST NEAR 2 MPH... 4 KM/HR...
AND A GENERAL SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR SOUTH IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION WOULD BRING LARRY
CLOSER TO THE COAST OF MEXICO TODAY...WITH LANDFALL POSSIBLY
OCCURRING BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES
...185 KM FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES ARE ESTIMATED TO
BE OCCURRING AT THIS TIME. AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 3 FEET OF STORM SURGE
CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE CENTER WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA AS LARRY MOVES CLOSER TO THE COAST.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH LARRY ARE ALSO POSSIBLE
OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOOD AND MUDSLIDES.
REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...19.3 N... 93.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTHEAST NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE
ADVISORY AT 4 PM CDT.
FORECASTER STEWART
000
WTNT31 KNHC 041436
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KATE ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SAT OCT 04 2003
...KATE STILL A MAJOR HURRICANE AS IT MOVES WESTWARD OVER THE
OPEN ATLANTIC...
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF MAJOR HURRICANE KATE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.3 WEST OR ABOUT
695 MILES...1120 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.
KATE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TODAY...WITH A GRADUAL TURN
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST EXPECTED BY TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO
24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 200 MILES...325 KM.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 962 MB...28.41 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...30.1 N... 53.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...115 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 962 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM AST.
FORECASTER STEWART
