Tropical Storm Larry

Forecast Advisory 4



000
WTNT32 KNHC 021433
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LARRY ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT THU OCT 02 2003

...LARRY POORLY ORGANIZED AND NEARLY STATIONARY...

INTERESTS THROUGHOUT THE GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF LARRY. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED ALONG PORTIONS OF
THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO LATER TODAY.

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
LARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.5 WEST
OR ABOUT 300 MILES...480 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TAMPICO MEXICO.

LARRY IS NEARLY STATIONARY AND LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. SOME CHANGES IN POSITION MAY OCCUR DUE TO
REFORMATION OF THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

REPORTS FROM OIL RIGS IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE INDICATE TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES...230 KM FROM THE
CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

LARRY COULD PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF THE ADJACENT COAST
OF MEXICO...AND IT WILL CONTINUE TO BRING STRONG GUSTY WINDS TO THE
OIL RIGS LOCATED IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE.

REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...21.0 N... 93.5 W. MOVEMENT
...STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE...1003 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 4 PM CDT.

FORECASTER BEVEN




000
WTNT31 KNHC 021434
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KATE ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST THU OCT 02 2003

...KATE CONTINUES MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD...

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 44.1 WEST OR ABOUT 1225 MILES...
1975 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.

KATE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT KATE NOW HAS A WELL-DEFINED
EYE...AND STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 230 MILES...370 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 979 MB...28.91 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...30.0 N... 44.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 979 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM AST.

FORECASTER BEVEN