Tropical Storm Larry
Forecast Advisory 13
000
WTNT32 KNHC 042027
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LARRY ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT SAT OCT 04 2003
...LARRY MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHWARD TOWARD MEXICO...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT
ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM TUXPAN TO CAMPECHE.
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LARRY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.8 WEST OR ABOUT
40 MILES...60 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF VILLAHERMOSA MEXICO.
LARRY IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH NEAR 4 MPH...7 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
THIS MOTION WILL CONTINUE TO BRING LARRY CLOSER TO THE COAST OF
MEXICO THIS EVENING...WITH LANDFALL POSSIBLY OCCURRING BY SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES
...140 KM FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES ARE ESTIMATED TO
BE OCCURRING AT THIS TIME. AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 3 FEET OF STORM SURGE
CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE CENTER WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA AS LARRY MOVES CLOSER TO THE COAST.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH LARRY ARE ALSO POSSIBLE
OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOOD AND MUDSLIDES.
REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...18.7 N... 93.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTH NEAR 4 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 996 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM CDT.
FORECASTER STEWART
000
WTNT31 KNHC 042035
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KATE ADVISORY NUMBER 37
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SAT OCT 04 2003
...KATE INTENSIFIES TO NEAR CATEGORY 4 STRENGTH...
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 30.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.5 WEST OR ABOUT 625
MILES...1005 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.
KATE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TONIGHT...WITH A GRADUAL
TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST EXPECTED BY SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THIS MAKES KATE A STRONG CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE
LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 200 MILES...325 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...30.3 N... 54.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 952 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM AST.
FORECASTER STEWART
