Tropical Storm Larry

Forecast Advisory 14

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000
WTNT32 KNHC 050227
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LARRY ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT SAT OCT 04 2003

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT
ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM VERACRUZ TO CIUDAD DEL CARMEN.

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LARRY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70
MILES...115 KM...NORTHEAST OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO. THIS POSITION
IS ALSO ABOUT 15 MILES...24 KM...NORTH OF THE MEXICAN COAST.

LARRY IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST NEAR 3 MPH... 6 KM/HR
...AND A MOSTLY SOUTHWARD DRIFT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE LARRY INLAND ON
SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES
... 95 KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE WAVES IS ESTIMATED TO BE OCCURRING AT THIS
TIME.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN
MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOOD AND
MUDSLIDES.

REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...18.5 N... 93.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 996 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM CDT.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE





000
WTNT31 KNHC 050234
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KATE ADVISORY NUMBER 38
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST SAT OCT 04 2003

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.2 WEST OR ABOUT 580 MILES...935
KM...EAST OF BERMUDA.

KATE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 175 MILES...280 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 962 MB...28.41 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...30.6 N... 55.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...115 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 962 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 AM AST.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE