Tropical Storm Larry

Forecast Advisory 18



000
WTNT32 KNHC 060222
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LARRY ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT SUN OCT 05 2003

...LARRY WEAKENING INLAND OVER MEXICO...STILL A HEAVY RAINFALL
AND FLOODING THREAT...

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL
WARNINGS FOR MEXICO.

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION LARRY
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.0 WEST OR
ABOUT 35 MILES...55 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH
... 6 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. LARRY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE FARTHER INLAND OVER
MEXICO AND GRADUALLY DISSIPATE AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS MAINLY IN ISOLATED SQUALLS OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. STEADY
WEAKENING WILL CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH LATER
TONIGHT.

HEAVY RAINS...WITH STORM TOTALS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...AND LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS...ARE LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO.
THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD
SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...17.9 N... 94.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 4 AM CDT.

FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTNT31 KNHC 060235
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KATE ADVISORY NUMBER 42
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST SUN OCT 05 2003

...KATE CONTINUES TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD...

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 33.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.1 WEST OR ABOUT 505
MILES...815 KM...EAST OF BERMUDA. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 955 MILES...
1535 KM...SOUTH OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND.

KATE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND A NORTH
OR NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION...ACCOMPANIED BY A GRADUAL INCREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED...IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 175 MILES...280 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 977 MB...28.85 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...33.0 N... 56.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 90 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 977 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 5 AM AST.

FORECASTER STEWART