Tropical Storm Nicholas

Forecast Advisory 7



000
WTNT34 KNHC 150843
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NICHOLAS ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST WED OCT 15 2003

...NICHOLAS RAPIDLY STRENGTHENING AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NICHOLAS WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 43.7 WEST OR ABOUT
1065 MILES...1715 KM...EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.

NICHOLAS IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR
...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST EXPECTED BY TONIGHT OR THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND NICHOLAS COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES
...110 KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...11.9 N... 43.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 11 AM AST.

FORECASTER STEWART