Tropical Storm Nicholas

Forecast Advisory 17

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000
WTNT34 KNHC 172033
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NICHOLAS ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST FRI OCT 17 2003

...NICHOLAS LOSES SOME ORGANIZATION DUE TO SHEAR...

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NICHOLAS WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.5 WEST OR ABOUT
860 MILES...1385 KM...EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

NICHOLAS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH SOME DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY ONLY
MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND LITTLE CHANGE IN
STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES
...280 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...16.4 N... 48.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM AST.

FORECASTER BEVEN