Tropical Storm Nicholas

Forecast Advisory 20



000
WTNT34 KNHC 181434
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NICHOLAS ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SAT OCT 18 2003

...NICHOLAS RE-LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST...

MORNING VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CENTER OF
NICHOLAS IS LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY
POSITION.

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NICHOLAS WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.7 WEST OR ABOUT
915 MILES...1475 KM...EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

NICHOLAS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 3 MPH...
6 KM/HR. A SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHWEST IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY NOT FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT...AND SOME SLOW WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES
...165 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...16.9 N... 47.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM AST.

FORECASTER BEVEN