Tropical Storm Nicholas

Forecast Advisory 36



000
WTNT34 KNHC 221437
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NICHOLAS ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST WED OCT 22 2003

...NICHOLAS BECOMING POORLY ORGANIZED...

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
NICHOLAS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH... LONGITUDE 54.3
WEST OR ABOUT 500 MILES...800 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS.

NICHOLAS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH
... 7 KM/HR. A TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST WITH AN INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. NICHOLAS IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES
...220 KM IN A FEW SQUALLS TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...19.1 N... 54.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM AST.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN