Tropical Storm Odette

Forecast Advisory 10



000
WTNT35 KNHC 062035
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ODETTE ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM EST SAT DEC 06 2003

...ODETTE LASHING ISLA BEATA AND THE BARAHONA PENINSULA...
...TORRENTIAL RAINS EXPECTED OVER HISPANIOLA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
FROM ISLA SAONA WESTWARD AND FOR HAITI.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.

AT 4 PM EST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ODETTE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.8 WEST OR ABOUT 20
MILES...35 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ISLA BEATA ON THE SOUTH COAST OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

ODETTE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR.
A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
IS EXPECTED. THIS TRACK WILL BRING THE CENTER OF ODETTE ACROSS
HISPANIOLA TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STRONGER WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS...ARE LIKELY OVER
ELEVATED TERRAIN. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY DURING
THE NEXT FEW HOURS BEFORE LANDFALL.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES
...230 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS IN
THE MOUNTAINS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF ODETTE. THESE
RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...
PARTICULARLY IN THE MOUNTAINS OF HAITI. RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH
ODETTE ARE ALREADY SPREADING ACROSS PORTIONS OF HISPANIOLA AND
PUERTO RICO. REPORTS FROM THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC INDICATE THAT SOME STATIONS HAVE ALREADY
MEASURED 5 INCHES OF RAIN TODAY.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2-4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.

REPEATING THE 4 PM EST POSITION...17.5 N... 71.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 7 PM EST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM
EST.

FORECASTER AVILA