Hurricane Alex
Forecast Advisory 11
000
WTNT31 KNHC 030233
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT MON AUG 02 2004
...ALEX STRENGTHENING AS IT MOVES CLOSER TO THE NORTH CAROLINA
COAST...COULD BECOME A HURRICANE ON TUESDAY...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO OREGON INLET
NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO SOUND. THIS MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD
BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF OREGON INLET TO
THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING THE ALBEMARLE SOUND.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA.
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 32.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.8 WEST OR ABOUT 95 MILES
SOUTH OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA.
ALEX IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION...WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...IS EXPECTED
FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ALEX
IS FORECAST TO PASS VERY NEAR THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS ON
TUESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AND ALEX COULD BECOME A HURRICANE
ON TUESDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES FROM THE
CENTER.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2-3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH ALEX.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1-2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
CAN BE EXPECTED ON ATLANTIC SHORELINES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2-4
FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED INSIDE PAMLICO SOUND.
HIGH SURF AND RIP CURRENTS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE SOUTHEASTERN AND
MID-ATLANTIC U.S. COASTAL AREAS FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...32.8 N... 77.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 987 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM EDT.
FORECASTER STEWART
$$