Hurricane Alex
Forecast Advisory 17
000
WTNT32 KNHC 041435
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST WED AUG 04 2004
...WATCHES AND WARNINGS DISCONTINUED AS POORLY-ORGANIZED DEPRESSION
CONTINUES RAPIDLY WESTWARD...
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...ALL TROPICAL STORM WATCHES AND WARNINGS HAVE
BEEN DISCONTINUED.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
AND HAITI LATER TODAY.
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE
62.7 WEST OR ABOUT 390 MILES...625 KM...SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN
PUERTO RICO.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 25 MPH...41 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL REDUCTION IN FORWARD SPEED WITH A TURN TO THE WEST-
NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. MARTINIQUE REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 MPH AS THE
DEPRESSION PASSED BY THIS MORNING. THE DEPRESSION HAS THE
POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS IF IT
CAN MAINTAIN A CLOSED WIND CIRCULATION. HOWEVER...IF THE
DEPRESSION CONTINUES WESTWARD AT ITS PRESENT MOTION...IT COULD
DISSIPATE LATER TODAY.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 MB...29.85 INCHES.
SQUALLS IN THE WINDWARD AND SOUTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS WILL BE
DIMINISHING TODAY.
REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...13.8 N... 62.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 25 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM AST.
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
$$
000
WTNT31 KNHC 041438
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT WED AUG 04 2004
...HURRICANE ALEX ACCELERATING OUT TO SEA...
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ALEX WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 37.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.0 WEST OR ABOUT 400 MILES...645
KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.
ALEX IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR.
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A
GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES... 95 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 979 MB...28.91 INCHES.
HIGH SURF AND RIP CURRENTS OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC U.S. COASTAL AREA
SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH DURING THE DAY TODAY.
REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...37.7 N... 69.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 979 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER KNABB/AVILA
$$
