Tropical Storm Bonnie
Forecast Advisory 1
000
WTNT31 KNHC 031446
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT TUE AUG 03 2004
...ALEX A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE AS IT PARALLELS THE OUTER BANKS...
AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
SOUTH OF SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE LOOKOUT.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO OREGON
INLET NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO SOUND. THIS MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF OREGON
INLET TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING THE
ALBEMARLE SOUND.
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ALEX WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 34.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 75.8 WEST OR ABOUT 40 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.
ALEX IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH. A NORTHEASTWARD
MOTION WITH A SMALL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ALEX IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN JUST OFFSHORE THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS.
HOWEVER...ANY MOTION TO THE LEFT OF THE EXPECTED TRACK COULD BRING
THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE OVER THE OUTER BANKS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...MAINLY TO THE
EAST OF THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD
UP TO 105 MILES.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 972 MB...28.70 INCHES.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED
IN ASSOCIATION WITH ALEX.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
CAN BE EXPECTED ON ATLANTIC SHORELINES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3
TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED INSIDE PAMLICO
SOUND. HIGH SURF AND RIP CURRENTS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE
SOUTHEASTERN AND MID-ATLANTIC U.S. COASTAL AREAS FOR THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE OUTER BANKS THIS AFTERNOON.
REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...34.7 N... 75.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...100 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 972 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 PM EDT AND 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED
BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
$$
000
WTNT32 KNHC 031450
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT TUE AUG 03 2004
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC EAST OF THE
LESSER ANTILLES...
TROPICAL STORM WATCHES AND WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED LATER
TODAY FOR SOME OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. INTERESTS IN THE LESSER
ANTILLES...VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE
54.2 WEST OR ABOUT 460 MILES... 735 KM...EAST OF THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 21 MPH...33 KM/HR. ON
THIS TRACK THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
LESSER ANTILLES ON WEDNESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AND THE SYSTEM COULD BECOME A
TROPICAL STORM BEFORE IT REACHES THE LESSER ANTILLES.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...13.2 N... 54.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 21 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER AVILA
$$
