Tropical Storm Bonnie
Forecast Advisory 4
000
WTNT32 KNHC 040837
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST WED AUG 04 2004
...POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING THROUGH
THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ST LUCIA.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUADELOUPE...MARTINIQUE
...DOMINICA...ST. MAARTEN...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...AND FOR PUERTO
RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
AND HAITI LATER TODAY.
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE
60.7 WEST OR JUST EAST OF ST. LUCIA.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 25 MPH...41 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD
BRING THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION THROUGH THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM. LOCALLY
STRONGER WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS...ESPECIALLY
ABOVE 1000 FEET. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS
CURRENTLY ENROUTE TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES.
SQUALLS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM ARE CURRENTLY AFFECTING THE
WINDWARD AND SOUTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS TODAY.
REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...13.8 N... 60.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 25 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM AST.
FORECASTER BEVEN
$$
000
WTNT31 KNHC 040837
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT WED AUG 04 2004
...ALEX CONTINUES MOVING AWAY FROM THE COAST...
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ALEX WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 37.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.1 WEST OR ABOUT 280 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.
ALEX IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 18 MPH AND A GRADUAL
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES.
AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE REPORTED A MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 973 MB...28.73 INCHES.
HIGH SURF AND RIP CURRENTS OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC U.S. COASTAL AREA
SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...37.1 N... 71.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 90 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 973 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 AM EDT.
FORECASTER PASCH
$$
