Tropical Storm Bonnie

Forecast Advisory 11



000
WTNT32 KNHC 102040
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BONNIE ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT TUE AUG 10 2004

...BONNIE NOW MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD...

WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED LATER TONIGHT FOR PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO COASTAL AREAS.

AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BONNIE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.5 WEST OR ABOUT
315 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

BONNIE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TONIGHT...WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO
THE NORTHEAST EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WHILE BONNIE HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY DURING THE PAST FEW
HOURS...CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR SOME STRENGTHENING TO OCCUR
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

BONNIE REMAINS A VERY SMALL TROPICAL STORM. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...24.7 N... 90.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 10 PM CDT.

FORECASTER STEWART


$$



000
WTNT33 KNHC 102048
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST TUE AUG 10 2004

...CHARLEY CONTINUES MOVING RAPIDLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE
CARIBBEAN...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED...

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF HAITI HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FOR THE ENTIRE SOUTHWEST PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER WESTWARD INCLUDING PORT-AU-PRINCE.

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR JAMAICA.

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS
ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 70.8 WEST OR ABOUT
440 MILES... 710 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA.

CHARLEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 26 MPH
...43 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE STORM WILL BE
NEARING JAMAICA TOMORROW MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES
...165 KM FROM THE CENTER.

AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE RECENTLY REPORTED A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH
CHARLEY.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...15.2 N... 70.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 26 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 999 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM AST.

FORECASTER PASCH

$$