Tropical Storm Bonnie
Forecast Advisory 12
000
WTNT33 KNHC 110230
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST TUE AUG 10 2004
...CHARLEY CONTINUING RAPIDLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...NEW WARNINGS AND
WATCHES ISSUED...
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FOR JAMAICA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A
HURRICANE WATCH ARE NOW IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA. A HURRICANE WARNING
MAY BE REQUIRED FOR JAMAICA WEDNESDAY MORNING.
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS
ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE SOUTHWEST
PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER WESTWARD
INCLUDING PORT-AU-PRINCE.
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.8 WEST OR ABOUT
300 MILES... 480 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA.
CHARLEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 25 MPH
...41 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF CHARLEY WILL BE
NEARING JAMAICA TOMORROW MORNING.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...
AND CHARLEY COULD BECOME A HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES JAMAICA
TOMORROW.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES
...165 KM MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.
ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING
WAVES...ARE LIKELY ALONG THE COASTS OF JAMAICA ON WEDNESDAY.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH
CHARLEY.
REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...16.0 N... 72.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 25 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 999 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM AST.
FORECASTER BEVEN
$$
000
WTNT32 KNHC 110232
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BONNIE ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT TUE AUG 10 2004
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR NORTHWEST FLORIDA...
AT 10 PM CDT...0300 GMT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
NORTHWEST FLORIDA FROM THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER EASTWARD TO THE
MOUTH OF THE SUWANEE RIVER. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...
GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BONNIE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.4 WEST OR ABOUT
295 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
BONNIE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 5 MPH. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST AND INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
REPORTS FROM A RECENT U.S. AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE
MISSION INDICATES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED
SLIGHTLY TO NEAR 45 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
BONNIE IS A SMALL STORM AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO ONLY 30 MILES FROM THE CENTER.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...25.0 N... 90.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 4 AM CDT.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
$$
