Tropical Storm Bonnie
Forecast Advisory 17
000
WTNT32 KNHC 120845
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BONNIE ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT THU AUG 12 2004
...BONNIE REMAINS DISORGANIZED...
ALL HURRICANE WARNINGS AND WATCHES ARE DISCONTINUED.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA FROM THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER
EASTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE SUWANNEE RIVER.
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BONNIE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 87.5 WEST OR ABOUT
175 MILES... 285 KM... WEST-SOUTHWEST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA.
BONNIE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE CENTRAL
PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER INDICATE THAT
BONNIE REMAINS DISORGANIZED.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES
...110 KM FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH BONNIE.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE LATER TODAY OVER THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE AND SOUTHERN GEORGIA.
REPEATING THE 4 AM CDT POSITION...28.4 N... 87.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 AM CDT.
FORECASTER JARVINEN
$$
000
WTNT33 KNHC 120858
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE CHARLEY ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT THU AUG 12 2004
...HURRICANE WARNINGS ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF FLORIDA KEYS AND
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST...
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE
FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND
FOR THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO BONITA
BEACH. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.
AT 5 AM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM THE
SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA
MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING ALL OF
FLORIDA BAY.
AT 5 AM EDT...A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF BONITA
BEACH TO TARPON SPRINGS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING PROVINCES OF
WESTERN CUBA...PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...
MATANZAS...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH. THIS WATCH WILL PROBABLY BE
CHANGED TO A HURRICANE WARNING THIS MORNING.
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 79.9 WEST OR ABOUT 100
MILES... 155 KM... EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GRAND CAYMAN.
CHARLEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH
...26 KM/HR. A TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 115 MILES...185 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES.
ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING
WAVES...ARE EXPECTED IN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS LATER THIS
MORNING. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2-4 FEET CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
FLORIDA KEYS. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 10 FEET ARE POSSIBLE
ALONG THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH
CHARLEY. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUD SLIDES.
REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...18.6 N... 79.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 986 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM EDT.
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
$$
