Hurricane Charley
Forecast Advisory 17
000
WTNT32 KWNH 131540
TCPAT2
PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 22 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION BONNIE
NWS...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...CAMP SPRINGS MD
1100 AM EST FRI AUG 13 2004
...CORRECTED INITIAL POSITION...
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION BONNIE MOVING NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE MID
ATLANTIC COAST...LOSING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS...
FLOOD WATCHES REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH PARTS OF EASTERN
GEORGIA...AS WELL AS MOST OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND NORTH CAROLINA...
EVEN THOUGH MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH BONNIE HAS
ALREADY MOVED THROUGH. FLOOD WATCHES HAVE BEEN POSTED IN
SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA...THE DELMARVA PENNINSULA...EASTERN
PENNSYLVANIA AND NEW YORK...NEW JERSEY...AND MOST OF NEW ENGLAND
AS RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT THESE
LOCATIONS.
AT 11 AM EDT...15Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BONNIE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.5 NORTH LONGITUDE 76.1 WEST OR ABOUT 15
MILES SOUTHEAST OF CHESAPEAKE...NORTH CAROLINA. BONNIE HAS BEEN
MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT ABOUT 40 MPH OVER THE PAST THREE HOURS
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 23 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS. MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB OR 29.80 INCHES.
SELECTED 24 HOUR RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THRU 8AM EDT:
LOCATION
FLORIDA...
PENSACOLA 1.58
EGLIN AFB/VALPARAIS 1.15
TALLAHASSEE 0.89
PANAMA CITY 0.71
GEORGIA...
AUGUSTA 2.08
MACON 1.63
ATHENS 1.37
SAVANNAH 1.19
SOUTH CAROLINA...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH 4.26
GREENVILLE 2.15
CHARLESTON 1.26
ANDERSON COUNTY AIRPORT 1.21
NORTH CAROLINA...
CHERRY POINT 2.97
JACKSONVILLE 2.39
CHARLOTTE/DOUGLAS 2.38
SEYMOUR-JOHNSON AFB 1.67
BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE
NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1-2 INCHES ARE LIKELY
OVER LONG ISLAND AND THE EASTERN HALF OF NEW ENGLAND...AND MAY
ACCUMULATE IN A RELATIVELY BRIEF PERIOD AS BONNIE MOVES THROUGH.
REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...15Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.5 NORTH LONGITUDE
76.1 WEST...MOVEMENT WAS NORTHEASTWARD AT ABOUT 40 MPH ...MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB OR 29.80 INCHES. THE NEXT ADVISORY ON
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BONNIE WILL BE ISSUED AT 5 PM EDT. REFER TO
STATEMENTS ISSUED BY LOCAL WEATHER OFFICES FOR FURTHER LOCAL
INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM.
BELL/HALBACH/MANOUSOS
$$
000
WTNT33 KNHC 131543
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE CHARLEY ADVISORY NUMBER 17...CORRECTION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004
CORRECTION...CHANGE TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA NORTHWARD TO THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER.
...CHARLEY HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE
DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A
HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA AND
GEORGIA COASTS FROM COCOA BEACH FLORIDA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA
AND IS NOW EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM
THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA
MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY
AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED
NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS
NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF
NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER
BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH
CAROLINA BORDER.
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 25.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.8 WEST OR ABOUT 145 MILES
SOUTH OF SARASOTA FLORIDA.
CHARLEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 18 MPH AND A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE PRIOR TO LANDFALL ON THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 105 MILES...165 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 965 MB...28.49 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER
TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND
SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA
COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND
SOUTH.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH
ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.
REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...25.2 N... 82.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...110 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 965 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 PM EDT AND 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED
BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
$$
