Hurricane Danielle

Forecast Advisory 15



000
WTNT34 KNHC 170233
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE DANIELLE ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST MON AUG 16 2004

...DANIELLE MAINTAINS STRENGTH OVER OPEN WATERS...

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANIELLE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 39.2 WEST OR ABOUT 1380
MILES...2225 KM...SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES.

DANIELLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH
...28 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS WITH A TURN TO THE NORTH THEREAFTER.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 105 MILES...165 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...21.0 N... 39.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 970 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM AST.

FORECASTER BERG/FRANKLIN


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