Tropical Storm Earl

Forecast Advisory 2



000
WTNT34 KNHC 140226
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DANIELLE ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST FRI AUG 13 2004

...FOURTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON FORMS IN THE FAR EASTERN
ATLANTIC...

SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION NEAR THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS HAS STRENGTHENED AND BECOME A TROPICAL STORM.

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DANIELLE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 24.8 WEST OR ABOUT
235 MILES... 375 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

DANIELLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH ...22 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES
... 85 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...12.7 N... 24.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM AST.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


$$


000
WTNT35 KNHC 140232
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST FRI AUG 13 2004

...DEPRESSION MOVING RAPIDLY WESTWARD TOWARD THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...

WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES BY
SATURDAY MORNING. INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES AND THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THIS SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS.

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.3 WEST OR ABOUT 895
MILES...1440 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 21 MPH
...33 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM
OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION... 9.4 N... 48.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 21 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM AST.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


$$


000
WTNT33 KNHC 140239
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE CHARLEY ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

...CHARLEY MOVING RAPIDLY TOWARD THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF
FLORIDA...NEW WARNINGS ISSUED...

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD
ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST TO OREGON INLET...INCLUDING THE
PAMLICO AND ABLEMARLE SOUNDS. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT
FROM COCOA BEACH FLORIDA TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA ON THE
SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ON THE
NORTH CAROLINA AND VIRGINIA COASTS NORTH OF OREGON INLET TO
CHINCOTEAGUE...INCLUDING THE LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF SMITH
POINT.

AT 11 PM EDT...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE IS
DISCONTINUED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM
JUPITER INLET TO COCOA BEACH FLORIDA.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.1 NORTH... LONGITUDE 81.1 WEST OR ABOUT 10 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA.

CHARLEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 25 MPH...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF CHARLEY WILL
MOVE INTO THE ATLANTIC NEAR DAYTONA BEACH DURING THE NEXT HOUR OR
TWO...THEN MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST SATURDAY
MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST ONCE THE CENTER OF CHARLEY MOVES BACK
OVER WATER.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85
MILES. DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS...MCCOY AIRPORT IN ORLANDO
REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 77 MPH WITH A GUST OF 105 MPH. SANFORD
FLORIDA HAS RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 92 MPH.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.79 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE WEST COAST OF
FLORIDA SHOULD SUBSIDE TONIGHT. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 8 TO 10 FT
IS EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA COASTS
NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF CHARLEY CROSSES THE
COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET IS EXPECTED IN THE
REMAINDER OF THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG THE PATH OF
CHARLEY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA FOR ANOTHER FEW HOURS. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE LATER TONIGHT AND SATURDAY OVER PORTIONS OF COASTAL SOUTH
AND NORTH CAROLINA.

REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...29.1 N... 81.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 25 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 975 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM
EDT.

FORECASTER BEVEN


$$


000
WTNT32 KWNH 140255
TCPAT2

PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 24 FOR REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
BONNIE NWS...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...CAMP SPRINGS
MD 11 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

...REMNANTS OF BONNIE NOW OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST...MOISTURE
FROM BONNIE INTERACTING WITH STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY ALONG
THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOKS AND FLOOD WATCHES REMAIN IN EFFECT
ALONG THE NEW ENGLAND SEABOARD.

AT 11 PM EDT...03Z...THE CENTER OF THE REMNANTS OF BONNIE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 40.8 NORTH LONGITUDE 72.3 WEST OR ABOUT 75
MILES SOUTHWEST OF MARTHAS VINEYARD. BONNIE HAS BEEN MOVING
NORTHEASTWARD AT ABOUT 25 MPH OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 10 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS. MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB OR 29.88 INCHES.

SELECTED 24 HOUR RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THRU 7 PM EDT:

LOCATION STORM TOTAL

OCEAN CITY MD 0.36
OCEANA VA 0.74
WALLOPS ISLAND VA 0.68
NEWPORT NC 2.54
NEW BERN NC 1.75
NEW RIVER NC 1.66
CHERRY POINT NC 1.56

THE REMNANTS OF BONNIE HAVE MIGRATED OFF THE NEW ENGLAND
SEABOARD. BONNIE IS MOVING AT APPROXIMATELY 25 MPH. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS UP TO 1 INCH ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE EASTERN PORTION OF NEW
ENGLAND...AND MAY ACCUMULATE IN A RELATIVELY BRIEF PERIOD AS
BONNIE MOVES THROUGH.

REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...03Z...THE SURFACE LOW PRESSURE
CENTER OF BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.0 LATITUDE NORTH 74.1
LONGITUDE WEST...MOVEMENT WAS NORTHEASTWARD AT ABOUT 25 MPH
...MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB OR 29.88 INCHES.

THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ON BONNIE ISSUED BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER ON BONNIE. REFER TO
STATEMENTS ISSUED BY LOCAL WEATHER OFFICES FOR FURTHER LOCAL
INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS SYSTEM.

SZATANEK

$$