Tropical Storm Earl

Forecast Advisory 7



000
WTNT34 KNHC 150827
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE DANIELLE ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SUN AUG 15 2004

...DANIELLE GETTING STRONGER OVER THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC...

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANIELLE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 31.6 WEST OR
ABOUT 485 MILES... 780 KM...WEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS.

DANIELLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR...
AND A MOTION TO THE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND DANIELLE COULD BECOME A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE BY
MONDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 981 MB...28.97 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...14.2 N... 31.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 981 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 11 AM AST.

FORECASTER STEWART


$$


000
WTNT33 KNHC 150834
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SUN AUG 15 2004

....CHARLEY MAKES LANDFALL ON LONG ISLAND...

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT
FROM NEW HAVEN CONNECTICUT TO MERRIMACK RIVER MASSACHUSETTS...AND
FOR EASTERN LONG ISLAND FROM FIRE ISLAND EASTWARD.

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE BROAD AND ILL-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
STORM CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 40.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.0
WEST OR NEAR THE TOWN OF FARMINGVILLE IN THE CENTER OF LONG ISLAND.

CHARLEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 30 MPH...48 KM/HR... AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS. CHARLEY IS RAPIDLY LOSING TROPICAL CHARCTERISTICS AND IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES
...140 KM MOSTLY EAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.88 INCHES.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG THE PATH OF
CHARLEY OVER THE NORTHEAST.

REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...40.8 N... 73.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 30 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM EDT.

FORECASTER JARVINEN


$$
Z


000
WTNT35 KNHC 150841
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM EARL ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SUN AUG 15 2004

...EARL CONTINUING TO MOVE QUICKLY TOWARD THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BARBADOS...ST.
VINCENT...THE GRENADINES...TRINIDAD...TOBAGO...GRENADA AND ITS
DEPENDENCIES...AND ST. LUCIA. INTERESTS AROUND THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EARL.

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.1 WEST OR ABOUT
105 MILES... 170 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF BARBADOS. THIS IS
ALSO ABOUT 175 MILES...285 KM... EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GRENADA AND
ABOUT 95 MILES...150 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF TOBAGO.

EARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 25 MPH...41 KM/HR...AND A MOTION
TO THE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON
THIS TRACK...THE STORM WILL MOVE OVER PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS LATER TODAY. WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
WILL CONTINUE TO DETERIORATE THIS MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AN
AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO
INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM THIS MORNING.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES
...140 KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH
EARL.

REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...11.7 N... 59.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 25 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM AST.

FORECASTER STEWART


$$