Tropical Storm Earl
Forecast Advisory 10
000
WTNT35 KNHC 160238
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM EARL ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST SUN AUG 15 2004
...EARL REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED IN THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE ILL-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.4 WEST OR ABOUT
500 MILES...805 KM...SOUTHEAST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC.
EARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 22 MPH...35 KM/HR. A WEST TO
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE LAST RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IN THE STORM INDICATED THAT
EARL WAS HAVING DIFFICULTY MAINTAINING A CLOSED WIND CIRCULATION.
TOMORROW'S RECONNAISSANCE MISSION MAY FIND THAT EARL HAS
DEGENERATED INTO A TROPICAL WAVE. HOWEVER...IF EARL IS ABLE TO
MAINTAIN A CIRCULATION...THEN SLOW STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES
...140 KM FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...12.7 N... 65.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 22 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM AST.
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
$$
000
WTNT34 KNHC 160252
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE DANIELLE ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST SUN AUG 15 2004
...DANIELLE STRENGTHENS A LITTLE BIT MORE...
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANIELLE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 35.4 WEST OR ABOUT 755
MILES...1220 KM...WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
DANIELLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH THEREAFTER.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 105 MILES...165 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...16.4 N... 35.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 970 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM AST.
FORECASTER BERG/FRANKLIN
$$
