Hurricane Frances

Forecast Advisory 1



000
WTNT31 KNHC 250224
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT TUE AUG 24 2004

...SIXTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION OF THE SEASON FORMS...

SATELLITE IMAGES THIS EVENING INDICATE THAT A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
HAS FORMED FROM THE STRONG TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
SIX WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 36.0 WEST OR
ABOUT 870 MILES...1400 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH...28
KM/HR...AND A WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...11.2 N... 36.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 AM EDT.

FORECASTER PASCH

$$