Hurricane Frances
Forecast Advisory 19
000
WTNT32 KNHC 291436
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GASTON ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SUN AUG 29 2004
...GASTON INLAND AND WEAKENING...
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING IS CHANGED TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO
LITTLE RIVER INLET SOUTH CAROLINA. ALL OTHER WARNINGS ARE
DISCONTINUED.
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GASTON WAS
LOCATED INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 33.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.5 WEST OR
ABOUT 40 MILES NORTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA.
GASTON IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH AND A NORTHWARD TO
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE MOVING OVER EASTERN SOUTH
CAROLINA TODAY AND OVER NORTH CAROLINA LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY
MONDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
STEADY WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS GASTON
CONTINUES MOVING OVER LAND.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES FROM THE
CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE COAST WILL DIMINISH. STORM SURGE
FLOODING OF UP TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL IS STILL POSSIBLE NEAR THE
HEADS OF RIVERS IN THE SOUTH CAROLINA COASTAL AREA.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...
ARE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH GASTON.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER NORTHEASTERN SOUTH
CAROLINA AND SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.
REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...33.2 N... 79.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 992 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM
EDT.
FORECASTER PASCH
$$
000
WTNT31 KNHC 291439
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRANCES ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SUN AUG 29 2004
...FRANCES MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD...RECONNAISSANCE PLANE EXPECTED TO
TO REACH THE HURRICANE LATER TODAY...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS LATER TODAY.
INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LESSER ANTILLES AND THE NORTHEASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FRANCES OVER
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.7 WEST OR ABOUT 550 MILES...
885 KM...EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.
FRANCES IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. AN AIR FORCE PLANE WILL CHECK THE INTENSITY OF FRANCES THIS
AFTERNOON. SOME FLUCTUATION IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 115 MILES...185 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 948 MB...27.99 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...18.6 N... 54.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...135 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 948 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 PM AST.
FORECASTER AVILA
$$