Hurricane Frances
Forecast Advisory 23
000
WTNT33 KNHC 301426
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HERMINE ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST MON AUG 30 2004
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HERMINE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.5 WEST OR ABOUT
325 MILES... 525 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS.
HERMINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 22 MPH...35 KM/HR...AND A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS
HERMINE BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES
...185 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...36.7 N... 71.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 22 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM AST.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
$$
000
WTNT31 KNHC 301431
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRANCES ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST MON AUG 30 2004
...POWERFUL HURRICANE FRANCES CONTINUES WESTWARD...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING LEEWARD
ISLANDS BY THEIR GOVERNMENTS...ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ST MAARTEN...
ANGUILLA...NEVIS...ST KITTS...ST EUSTATIUS AND SABA. THE GOVERNMENT
OF FRANCE ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR ST MARTIN AND ST
BARTHELEMY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR SOME OF THESE ISLANDS
LATER TODAY.
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
PUERTO RICO AND THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR VIEQUES IS CHANGED TO A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
BRITISH AND NORTHERN U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS INCLUDING ST THOMAS...ST
JOHN AND SURROUNDING ISLANDS...AND FOR THE ISLAND OF CULEBRA.
A TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM OR
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
WITHIN 36 HOURS.
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRANCES WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.7 WEST OR ABOUT 300
MILES... 480 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.
FRANCES IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH ...20 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION...WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...IS
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS. A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO
INVESTIGATE FRANCES THIS AFTERNOON.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 956 MB...28.23 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...19.3 N... 58.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 956 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM
AST.
FORECASTER PASCH
$$
000
WTNT32 KWNH 301442
TCPAT2
PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 12 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION GASTON
NWS...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...CAMP SPRINGS MD
11 AM EDT MON AUG 30 2004
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION GASTON MOVING THROUGH NORTH CAROLINA...
FLOOD WATCHES REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL AND EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA.
AT 11 AM EDT...15Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION GASTON WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.7 NORTH LONGITUDE 78.3 WEST OR 20 MILES
TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OF RALEIGH NORTH CAROLINA. GASTON HAS BEEN
MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT ABOUT 9 MPH. THIS GENERAL TREND IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS. MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB OR 30.16 INCHES.
RADAR ESTIMATES INDICATE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS GREATER
THAN 10 INCHES NEAR KINGSTREE SOUTH CAROLINA.
SELECTED 48 HOUR RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THRU 8 AM EDT:
LOCATION STORM TOTAL
NORTH CAROLINA...
CAMP MACKALL 5.60
LAURINBURG-MAXTON AIRPORT 5.31
LUMBERTON 3.37
POPE AFB 2.99
FAYETTEVILLE 2.37
WILLIAMS 1.75
RALEIGH-DURHAM 1.49
WALLACE 1.37
JACKSONVILLE 1.27
SOUTH CAROLINA...
DARLINGTON 5.80
FLORENCE 4.36
CHARLESTOWN 4.11
SHAW AFB/SUMTER 1.78
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH 1.69
COLUMBIA 0.73
AREAL AVERAGE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2-4 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED
TODAY NEAR THE PATH OF THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE MID ATLANTIC...WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER RAINFALL POSSIBLE.
REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...15Z...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
GASTON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.7 NORTH LONGITUDE 78.3
WEST...MOVEMENT NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 9 MPH ...MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 1001 MB OR 30.16 INCHES.
THE NEXT ADVISORY ON GASTON WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER AT 5 PM EDT. REFER TO
STATEMENTS ISSUED BY LOCAL WEATHER OFFICES FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS SYSTEM.
LADER
$$