Hurricane Frances
Forecast Advisory 24
000
WTNT33 KNHC 302009
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HERMINE ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST MON AUG 30 2004
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS FROM WOODS HOLE TO PLYMOUTH INCLUDING MARTHAS
VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET.
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HERMINE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 38.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.3 WEST OR ABOUT
210 MILES... 340 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS.
HERMINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 21 MPH...33 KM/HR...AND TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS THE
STORM MOVES OVER COLDER WATER AND BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL. HOWEVER
40 TO 50 MPH WINDS COULD BRIEFLY AFFECT THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
AREA OF SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS TONIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES
...230 KM...MAINLY TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...38.4 N... 71.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 21 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM AST.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
$$
000
WTNT31 KNHC 302038
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRANCES ADVISORY NUMBER 24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST MON AUG 30 2004
...FRANCES STRENGTHENS...CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING LEEWARD
ISLANDS...ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ST MAARTEN...ANGUILLA...NEVIS...ST.
KITTS...ST. EUSTATIUS AND SABA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN
EFFECT FOR ST. MARTIN AND ST. BARTHELEMY. THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE
WILL LIKELY UPGRADE THIS WATCH TO A WARNING LATER TODAY.
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
PUERTO RICO...CULEBRA...VIEQUES AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS OF ST.
THOMAS...ST JOHN AND SURROUNDING ISLANDS...AND FOR THE BRITISH
VIRGIN ISLANDS.
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ST.
CROIX.
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRANCES WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.0 WEST OR ABOUT 220
MILES... 355 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.
FRANCES IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH ...22 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON
THIS TRACK THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL PASS TO THE NORTH OF THE
NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY. HOWEVER
THE OUTER BANDS OF FRANCES WILL BEGIN AFFECTING THESE ISLANDS IN A
FEW HOURS.
REPORTS FROM A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY COULD OCCUR DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM.
THE NOAA HURRICANE HUNTERS REPORTED THAT THE MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE HAS FALLEN TO 948 MB...27.99 INCHES.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE LIKELY OVER
PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA IN ASSOCIATION WITH FRANCES.
REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...19.5 N... 60.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 948 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM
AST.
FORECASTER PASCH
$$
000
WTNT32 KWNH 302055
TCPAT2
PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 13 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION GASTON
NWS...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...CAMP SPRINGS MD
5 PM EDT MON AUG 30 2004
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION GASTON MOVING THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN
VIRGINIA...
FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL VIRGINIA
UNTIL 6 PM EDT. IN ADDITION TORNADO WATCHES ARE ALSO IN EFFECT
UNTIL 8PM EDT FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND
SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA.
AT 5 PM EDT...21Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION GASTON WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.7 NORTH LONGITUDE 77.1 WEST OR 10 MILES
TO THE WEST OF FRANKLIN VIRGINIA. GASTON HAS BEEN MOVING
NORTHEASTWARD AT ABOUT 14 MPH. THIS GENERAL TREND IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE THIS EVENING WITH GASTON EXPECTED TO MOVE OFFSHORE INTO
THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30
MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB
OR 30.16 INCHES.
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THRU 2 PM EDT:
LOCATION STORM TOTAL
VIRGINIA...
WALLOPS ISLAND 0.91
DANVILLE 0.86
WAKEFIELD 0.42
FORT EUSTIS 0.35
RICHMOND 0.12
NORTH CAROLINA...
CAMP MACKALL 5.60
LAURINBURG-MAXTON AIRPORT 5.31
POPE AFB 3.46
LUMBERTON 3.37
WILLIAMS 2.77
FORT BRAGG 2.58
RALEIGH-DURHAM 2.54
FAYETTEVILLE 2.37
BURLINGTON 2.19
ROCKY MOUNT 1.89
ROANOKE RAPIDS 1.37
SOUTH CAROLINA...
TURBEVILLE 7.00
DARLINGTON 5.80
FLORENCE 4.36
CHARLESTOWN 4.11
SHAW AFB/SUMTER 1.78
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH 1.69
COLUMBIA 0.73
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2-3 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HEAVIER
AMOUNTS CAN BE EXPECTED TONIGHT NEAR THE PATH OF THIS TROPICAL
DEPRESSION MAINLY ACROSS VIRGINIA AND THE DELMARVA PENINSULA.
REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...21Z...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
GASTON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.7 NORTH LONGITUDE 77.1
WEST...MOVEMENT NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 14 MPH ...MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 1001 MB OR 30.16 INCHES.
THE NEXT ADVISORY ON GASTON WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER AT 11 PM EDT. REFER TO
STATEMENTS ISSUED BY LOCAL WEATHER OFFICES FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS SYSTEM.
LADER
$$
