Tropical Storm Gaston
Forecast Advisory 1
000
WTNT32 KNHC 272033
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT FRI AUG 27 2004
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN FORMS OFF THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST...
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED...
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM SURF CITY NORTH
CAROLINA SOUTHWARD TO FERNANDINA BEACH FLORIDA.
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.1 WEST OR ABOUT
140 MILES... 225 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA.
THE DEPRESSION IS NEARLY STATIONARY. A SLOW WESTWARD DRIFT IS
EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER TONIGHT. THIS MOTION COULD BRING THE CENTER
CLOSER TO THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST ON SATURDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...
AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON SATURDAY.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1014 MB...29.94 INCHES.
THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BE HEAVY RAINFALL. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
TRACK OF THE DEPRESSION.
REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...31.6 N... 78.1 W. MOVEMENT...
NEARLY STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1014 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT.
FORECASTER STEWART
$$
000
WTNT31 KNHC 272041
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRANCES ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST FRI AUG 27 2004
...FRANCES STRENGTHENS INTO THE THIRD CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE
OF THE SEASON...
INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LESSER ANTILLES AND THE NORTHEASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FRANCES OVER
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRANCES WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.8 WEST OR ABOUT 800
MILES...1290 KM...EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.
FRANCES IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. A
MOTION BETWEEN NORTHWEST AND WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THIS MAKES FRANCES A CATEGORY THREE MAJOR HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND FRANCES COULD BECOME A
CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE OVER THE WEEKEND.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 105 MILES...165 KM.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 962 MB...28.41 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...15.7 N... 49.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...115 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 962 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 11 PM AST.
FORECASTER STEWART
$$
