Tropical Storm Hermine

Forecast Advisory 6



000
WTNT32 KNHC 310237
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GASTON ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT MON AUG 30 2004

...GASTON BECOMES A TROPICAL STORM AGAIN...

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GASTON WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.8 WEST OR ABOUT
55 MILES SOUTHWEST OF OCEAN CITY MARYLAND.

GASTON IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 18 MPH AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A GRADUAL
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...MAINLY
TO THE SOUTHEAST THE CENTER OVER THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. THE CHESAPEAKE
LIGHT C-MAN STATION RECENTLY REPORTED A 10-MINUTE SUSTAINED WIND OF
49 MPH WITH A GUST TO 56 MPH AT A HEIGHT OF ABOUT 140 FT. A SHIP
ABOUT 40 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY
RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 40 MPH. HOWEVER...TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS HAVE NOT BEEN REPORTED OVER LAND AND THE FAST
FORWARD MOTION OF GASTON SHOULD ONLY BE A MARINE HAZARD AND NOT
REQUIRE THE ISSUANCE OF COASTAL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...37.7 N... 75.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 5 AM EDT.

FORECASTER STEWART


$$


000
WTNT33 KNHC 310239
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HERMINE ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST MON AUG 30 2004

...HERMINE NEARING LANDFALL...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
MASSACHUSETTS FROM WOODS HOLE TO PLYMOUTH INCLUDING MARTHAS
VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET.

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
HERMINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 41.1 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 71.1 WEST OR ABOUT 25 MILES... 45 KM...
SOUTHWEST OF MARTHA'S VINEYARD MASSACHUSETTS.

HERMINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 28 MPH...44 KM/HR... AND A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ON
THIS TRACK HERMINE WILL MAKE LANDFALL ON THE MASSACHUSETTS MAINLAND
IN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. AFTER LANDFALL HERMINE WILL QUICKLY WEAKEN...BUT WIND GUSTS
TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE AS THE SYSTEM PASSES BY.
HERMINE SHOULD BECOME EXTRATROPICAL OR MERGE WITH ANOTHER LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE WEST IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES
FROM THE CENTER MOSTLY TO THE SOUTHEAST.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...41.1 N... 71.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 28 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM AST.

FORECASTER JARVINEN


$$


000
WTNT31 KNHC 310243
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRANCES ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST MON AUG 30 2004

...MAHJOR HURRICANE FRANCES PASSING NORTH OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR GUADELOUPE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING LEEWARD
ISLANDS...ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ST MAARTEN...ANGUILLA...NEVIS...ST.
KITTS...ST. EUSTATIUS...SABA...AND ALSO FOR PUERTO RICO...CULEBRA...
VIEQUES AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS OF ST. THOMAS...ST. JOHN AND
SURROUNDING ISLANDS...AND FOR THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS
ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM MANZANILLO BAY EASTWARD TO CABO ENGANO.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ST. MARTIN...
ST. BARTHELEMY...AND ST. CROIX.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED EARLY FRIDAY MORNING
FOR PORTIONS OF THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRANCES WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.4 WEST OR ABOUT 150
MILES... 245 KM...NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

FRANCES IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ON THIS TRACK...THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL PASS TO THE NORTH OF
THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY.
HOWEVER...THE OUTER BANDS OF FRANCES WILL BEGIN AFFECTING THESE
ISLANDS LATER TONIGHT AND ON TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY COULD OCCUR DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES... 95 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 175 MILES...280 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 945 MB...27.91 INCHES.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE LIKELY OVER
PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA IN ASSOCIATION WITH FRANCES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...19.7 N... 61.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 945 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM AST.

FORECASTER STEWART


$$


000
WTNT32 KNHC 310246
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GASTON ADVISORY NUMBER 14...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT MON AUG 30 2004

CORRECTED TO INCLUDE RAINFALL INFORMATION

...GASTON BECOMES A TROPICAL STORM AGAIN...

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GASTON WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.8 WEST OR ABOUT
55 MILES SOUTHWEST OF OCEAN CITY MARYLAND.

GASTON IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 18 MPH AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A GRADUAL
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...MAINLY
TO THE SOUTHEAST THE CENTER OVER THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. THE CHESAPEAKE
LIGHT C-MAN STATION RECENTLY REPORTED A 10-MINUTE SUSTAINED WIND OF
49 MPH WITH A GUST TO 56 MPH AT A HEIGHT OF ABOUT 140 FT. A SHIP
ABOUT 40 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY
RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 40 MPH. HOWEVER...TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS HAVE NOT BEEN REPORTED OVER LAND AND THE FAST
FORWARD MOTION OF GASTON SHOULD ONLY BE A MARINE HAZARD AND NOT
REQUIRE THE ISSUANCE OF COASTAL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE
DELMARVA PENINSULA TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...37.7 N... 75.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 5 AM EDT.

FORECASTER STEWART


$$