Hurricane Ivan

Forecast Advisory 16



000
WTNT34 KNHC 060901
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IVAN ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST MON SEP 06 2004

...IVAN WEAKENS SLIGHTLY AS IT MOVES QUICKLY TOWARD THE LESSER
ANTILLES...

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BARBADOS AND ST LUCIA AND A
HURRICANE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED LATER THIS MORNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRENADA AND ITS
DEPENDENCIES AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED
LATER THIS MORNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR THE ISLAND OF
MARTINIQUE LATER THIS MORNING.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF IVAN.

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IVAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 10.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.6 WEST OR ABOUT 550 MILES...
890 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BARBADOS.

IVAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 23 MPH ...37 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 951 MB...28.08 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...10.8 N... 51.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 23 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 951 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM AST.

FORECASTER HOLWEG/STEWART


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